Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 581SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 581 · PDX → LAX
departs 7:20 AM PT · arrives 9:57 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.