Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 673SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 673 · GEG → SAN
departs 8:15 AM PT · arrives 11:03 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±6 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.