Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 675 LANDED 4:22 PM PT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 675 · SMF → PDX

took off 3:16 PM PT · landed 4:22 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from SMF are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 675 · SMF → PDX

Odds over time