AS 7004 · SIT → JNU

took off 6:18 PM AKDT · landed 6:38 PM AKDT (scheduled 6:05 PM AKDT → 6:53 PM AKDT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JNU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 6pm departures from SIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SIT (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.61 in

JNU (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7004 · SIT → JNU

Odds over time

How late did it get to JNU?