Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 703 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AS 703 · BUR → SEA

departs 6:39 PM PT · arrives 9:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 703 · BUR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?