Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 715SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 715 · ORD → SEA
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 8:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.