tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 722 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 722 · ANC → SEA

departs 11:59 PM AKT · arrives 4:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.2d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.