Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 724 LANDED 11:36 AM PT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 724 · SEA → GEG

took off 11:02 AM PT · landed 11:36 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 724 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time