Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 787SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 787 · SEA → CHS
departs 8:39 AM PT · arrives 4:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.