AS 81 · ANC → FAI

took off 6:48 PM AKT · landed 7:27 PM AKT (scheduled 6:33 PM AKT → 7:42 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ FAI usually runs smoothly

↓ 6pm departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 81 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAI?