Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 920SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 920 · KOA → LAX
departs 11:15 AM HT · arrives 7:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.