Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 965SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 965 · SMF → KOA
departs 7:37 AM PT · arrives 10:00 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to KOA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.