AS 9677 · HNL → SJC

took off 11:58 PM HT · expected to land 7:17 AM PT (scheduled 11:46 PM HT → 7:56 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into SJC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9677 · HNL → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?