Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 972 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AS 972 · OGG → LGB

departs 12:11 PM HT · arrives 8:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 972 · OGG → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?