AS 981 · OGG → LAX

took off 12:49 PM HT · landed 8:27 PM PT (scheduled 12:18 PM HT → 8:21 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 981 · OGG → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?