Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9915 LANDED 7:10 PM CHST, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 9915 · HNL → GUM

took off 3:40 PM HT · landed 7:10 PM ChST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts53 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.58 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9915 · HNL → GUM

Odds over time