Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9925 LANDED 7:44 AM HT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 9925 · KOA → HNL

took off 7:20 AM HT · landed 7:44 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ 7am departures from KOA are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9925 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time