Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1104 · SJU → JFK
departs 8:50 PM AT · arrives 12:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.