B6 1152 · MCO → BOS

departs 4:09 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1152 · MCO → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?