Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1284
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
B6 1284 · MCO → JFK
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 10:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 73%
Mon 10/5 50%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 36 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at JFK that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.03 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.