Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 128 · MCO → EWR
departs 2:59 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 45%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.