Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 130 · RSW → JFK
departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 9:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/1 5%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from RSW are usually not late
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.