Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1382 · IAH → JFK
departs 11:43 AM CT · arrives 4:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.