Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1476
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
B6 1476 · SJU → BDL
departs 7:00 AM AT · arrives 10:51 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 13%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from SJU are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.