Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1626 LANDED 9:38 AM ET, ~4 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

B6 1626 · FLL → RDU

took off 8:01 AM ET · landed 9:38 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

RDU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1626 · FLL → RDU

Odds over time