Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
B6 1719 · RIC → SJU
departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 9:03 PM AT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RIC that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
RIC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.38 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.