Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1743
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1743 · JAX → SJU
departs 3:52 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM AT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.45 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 4,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.