Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1964
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1964 · JFK → HYA
departs 2:20 PM ET · arrives 3:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at HYA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HYA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
JFK is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
HYA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.