Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2122 · ACK → HPN
departs 5:56 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ACK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
ACK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.