Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 225 · JFK → TPA
departs 6:20 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from JFK are usually not late
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.