Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 226
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 226 · TPA → JFK
departs 3:43 PM ET · arrives 6:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.