Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 228 · SJU → MCO
departs 2:35 PM AT · arrives 5:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.