Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 234
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 234 · SJU → MCO
departs 2:20 AM AT · arrives 5:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.