Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2695 · HPN → MCO
departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 10:14 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
MCO is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from HPN are usually not late
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.