B6 2702 · FLL → JFK

took off 6:49 PM ET · expected to land 9:08 PM ET (scheduled 6:39 PM ET → 9:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at JFK that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

JFK (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2702 · FLL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?