Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2904
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2904 · SJU → JFK
departs 5:01 AM AT · arrives 8:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from SJU are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 4,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 6,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.