Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 423 · JFK → LAX
departs 11:59 AM ET · arrives 3:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 5,867 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.