Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 548
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 548 · TPA → HPN
departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 8:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.