Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 577 LANDED 8:42 AM PT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

B6 577 · FLL → SFO

took off 6:12 AM ET · landed 8:42 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 577 · FLL → SFO

Odds over time