Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 585
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 585 · JFK → RDU
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.