Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 625
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
B6 625 · JFK → TPA
departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 39%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.