Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 686 · FLL → EWR
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 2:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.