Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 729
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 729 · BQN → MCO
departs 8:39 AM AT · arrives 11:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
BQN is prone to delays
↓
8am departures from BQN are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.