Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 730
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 730 · MCO → BQN
departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 15%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BQN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BQN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.