Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 75
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 75 · JFK → MSY
departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
JFK is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.