Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 798 · MCO → LGA
departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 62%
Fri 10/2 64%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 48%
Tue 10/6 38%
Wed 10/7 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.