Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 847
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 847 · ISP → MCO
departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 12:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 25%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
ISP usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,533 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.