Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8709 LANDED 1:05 AM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

B6 8709 · DAL → DEN

took off 12:36 AM CT · landed 1:05 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 8709 · DAL → DEN

Odds over time