Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 944
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 944 · BZN → JFK
departs 12:09 PM MT · arrives 6:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
BZN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BZN (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.