Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 953 · JFK → PBI
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 9:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into PBI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.